About
Learn More about our progressive online community for the Granite State.

Create an account today (it's free and easy) and get started!
Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Search




Advanced Search


The Masthead
Managing Editors
Dean Barker
Laura Clawson
Jennifer Daler

Contributing Writers
elwood
Mike Hoefer
susanthe
William Tucker

ActBlue Hampshire

The Roll, Etc.
Prog Blogs, Orgs & Alumni
Bank Slate
Betsy Devine
birch, finch, beech
Blue News Tribune (MA)
Democracy for NH
Live Free or Die
Mike Caulfield
Miscellany Blue
Granite State Progress
Seacoast for Change
Susan the Bruce
Tomorrow's Progressives

Politicos & Punditry
The Burt Cohen Show
John Gregg
Krauss
Landrigan
Lawson
Pindell
Primary Monitor
Primary Wire
Scala
Schoenberg
Spiliotes
Welch

Campaigns, Et Alia.
Paul Hodes
Carol Shea-Porter
Ann McLane Kuster
Katrina Swett
Jennifer Daler

ActBlue Hampshire
NHDP
DCCC
DSCC
DNC

National
Balloon Juice
billmon
Congress Matters
DailyKos
Digby
Hold Fast
Eschaton
FiveThirtyEight
MyDD
The Next Hurrah
Open Left
Senate Guru
Swing State Project
Talking Points Memo

50 State Blog Network
Alabama
Arizona
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin

The Fundamentals of NH Dems are Strong: Part One

by: Dean Barker

Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 21:21:41 PM EST


There will be a great effort by the Union Leader and other predictable statewide outlets of the GOP to define last night's returns as another "fluke," to be blamed on Bush, or Iraq, or Massachussetts, or some other bogeyman.

Don't you dare let them.  The fundamentals of the Democratic party, its voters and its public servants, are strong. We won our many victories last night because our values are in tune with New Hampshire's values, and as a result more Granite Staters chose us over them.

Let's talk a little about the dominant position we are in. First off, consider how we fared in the presidential contest - Obama 55 to McCain 44, with no third party candidate cracking one percent. A double-digit win in what was supposed to be a battleground state. A double-digit loss for the best possible GOP nominee for our particular brand of Republican in this state. A resounding victory for Obama in what was his primary season Achilles' heel.

Three things stand out about Obama's victory in New Hampshire. First off, it was called as soon as the polls closed. That's stunning to me. I wasn't ready for it, and frankly, neither were most of the people and press at the big party in Manchester.

Secondly, the margin of victory that made that early call possible.  Please, someone, fill me in: who was the last Democrat to crack 55% in the Granite State? LBJ?

Finally, and most excitingly: every single county in this state went blue, even Belknap.  Again, when has this happened in recent electoral memory? I can't find a blue county sweep from the last 30 years.

And to knock down one more national bogeyman - that Obama's win had to do with the black vote. I think our double digit battleground state victory in one of the whitest states in the union pretty much puts that one to bed.

Dean Barker :: The Fundamentals of NH Dems are Strong: Part One
Tags: , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Quoted (0.00 / 0)
"It's further proof that New Hampshire is a different state than it was eight years ago," said Michael Hoefer of Richmond, who was among Railroad revelers, of the Democrats' widespread victories.

Sentinel Blue tide sweeps the state (Print edition has me as Fmr. State Rep Chris Coates.)

Hope > Fear




Create a free Blue Hampshire account and join the conversation.


Wow! (0.00 / 0)
You pushed the narrative in the right direction as two different people!

birch, finch, beech

[ Parent ]
Would have like to also have said (4.00 / 1)
that 20k more people voted for Obama than for Kerry, but we still don't have 100% reporting yet.  That number should grow some.

birch, finch, beech

Before We Get Too Overconfident... (4.00 / 2)
Before we get too overconfident or cheerleading for ourselves, let's remember that even a 55% to 45% margin just means that if 6 out of every 55 of our current "supporters" decide to switch in two years, we're at 49% -- and we lose.

I think they put us in there for a reason, and that means we have to produce this coming year -- Democrats have to act like Democrats.  By November of 2010 we have to essentially be out of Iraq, we have to have some meaningful health care reform, and we have to have solved what ills in this economy.  On the state level, we have to have had some real solution to education funding and at least opened the dialogue on serious tax reform to reduce property taxes and provide that education funding -- not necessarily a new tax because it's clear that would be vetoed, but at least have the courage to discuss it.

If 55% is considered a mandate to do something, or to put it in another perspective, if 550 people out of every 1,000 voters are telling us to something -- I think our job is to do what we've said we would do.

Fortunately, I think we have enough leaders on the national and state levels to get serious about leading, instead of doing what Republicans have done -- ducking issues and passing on problems to the next election.


Pundits Might Be Offering Caution And A Reality Check (0.00 / 0)
I'll repeat on this post what I said on another post yesterday, because I believe it to be true, whether or not we're excited in the afterglow of Election Day.  Fact is, many of us have been through previous "ups" in Democratic success, only to learn that in politics, "change" is the only constant.  In my lifetime, the years of John F. Kennedy were only temporary, soon followed by years of Vietnam and Nixon.  And the years of Bill Clinton were followed by years of nighmares.  In New Hampshire, we had much Democratic Party strength in the late 1970, followed by decades of Republican dominance.  

So...

Before we get too overconfident or cheerleading for ourselves, let's remember that even a 55% to 45% margin just means that if 6 out of every 55 of our current "supporters" decide to switch in two years, we're at 49% -- and we lose.

I think they put us in there for a reason, and that means we have to produce this coming year -- Democrats have to act like Democrats.  By November of 2010 we have to essentially be out of Iraq, we have to have some meaningful health care reform, and we have to have solved what ills in this economy.  On the state level, we have to have had some real solution to education funding and at least opened the dialogue on serious tax reform to reduce property taxes and provide that education funding -- not necessarily a new tax because it's clear that would be vetoed, but at least have the courage to discuss it.

If 55% is considered a mandate to do something, or to put it in another perspective, if 550 people out of every 1,000 voters are telling us to something -- I think our job is to do what we've said we would do.

Fortunately, I think we have enough leaders on the national and state levels to get serious about leading, instead of doing what Republicans have done -- ducking issues and passing on problems to the next election.



All solid points; it's not going to get easy for us to hold onto everything in NH, just possible (0.00 / 0)
That said, with the exception of the President-Elect and his team, some time for resting on laurels is in order, at least until the people who just won are inaugurated.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin


[ Parent ]

Connect with BH
     
Powered by: SoapBlox