In a UNH poll conducted between 4/13 and 4/22 with about 500 sample size (in other words, likely the same operation done here and here), John E. Sununu is shown to be besting Paul Hodes 46%-41%, with 11% undecided and 2% for someone else.
That’s a fascinating result for the Sununu Dynasty to chew on as they decree whether or no The Younger shall be the nominee – on Cloud Hampshire.
When you add up the 111 registered Democrats, 137 registered Republicans, and 185 registered Undeclareds who were polled on this match-up, you get a remarkable picture of this fantasy state. Let’s compare it with the most recent data – November 2008 – from a real place that has elections called New Hampshire.
On Cloud Hampshire, Democrats make up only 25.63% of the electorate, Republicans dominate with 31.63% of the share, and the remaining 42.72% are Undeclared.
In New Hampshire, Democrats are actually the party in the driver’s seat, with 29.44% of the people’s choice, followed closely by Republicans with 29.26%. Undeclareds round it out with 41.27%
In Cloud-Cuckoo-Land, the Sprinter has a chance. Here on earth, with 2% less Republicans and almost 4% more Democrats, it’s harder to say.
Also on Cloud Hampshire, young voters (ages 18-34) are picking Hodes over Sununu by 9 points (47%-38%) – wow! What a pity that in the clouds, people aged 18-34 only make up 9.75% of the voting electorate. Now I know that young people are the hardest to get to the polls, but sheesh, Cloud Hampshire, you have a serious civics problem there. Especially since in a real place called the United States of America, exit polls show that 52% of voters aged 18-29 turned out for the election. I’m guessing that translates into something a little higher than 9.75%. And in fact, a little bird tells me, voters age 18-29 made up 17% of the electorate in NH-Sen for 2008. I wonder what 18-34 would be?
Adding: And what elwood said about CDs 1 and 2.